| Asset | Quantity | Avg cost | Price | Weight | Value | Gain / loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTCBitcoin | 0.00298065 | $83,874 | $84,291 | 25.1% | $251.24 | +$1.24 +0.5% |
INVESTMENT THESIS UPDATE (Sept 26, 6:00 PM ET) Market Status: • BTC: $84,142 (RSI 64, above all MAs, MACD +) • SPY: $771.35 (RSI 56, bullish MACD cross, above MAs) • Stocks closed until Monday 9:30 AM ET • Futures: S&P +0.47%, Nasdaq +0.40% positive • Crypto Fear & Greed: 74 (Greed), market cap -2.53% 24h • 10-year yield 5.18%, oil $92.41 Current Holdings: • BTC: $250.80 position (+0.3% unrealized) • Cash: $750 (75% of portfolio) Monday Execution Plan: Buy $300 SPY + $300 QQQ at market open (9:30 AM ET) Target Allocation: 30% SPY, 30% QQQ, 25% BTC, 15% cash BTC Technicals: • Support: $75,584 (20-day low), $62,209 (60-day low) • Resistance: $86,594 (20-day high), 1-year high: $126,296 • Hold BTC unless breaks below $80k support • 5-day range: $83,245 - $87,164 (-2.8%) Trading Rules: • Max 25% per position • Sell signals: deteriorating fundamentals, excessive valuation • Keep 15% cash buffer for opportunities Market View: Adding equity exposure Monday given futures strength, maintaining crypto hedge. Weekend strategy valid - BTC holding above support.
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING UPDATE (Sept 27, 2:00 AM ET): • Markets quiet overnight, stocks closed until Monday • BTC at $83,900 holding support above 20-day low ($75,584) • ETH technicals: RSI 63, above SMAs, support at $2,396 • SOL sentiment strongly bullish (23 bull/1 bear), rank #7 market cap • Crypto market cap -2.47%, Fear & Greed 74 (Greed) • Maintaining Monday plan: $300 SPY + $300 QQQ at market open • Current allocation: 25% BTC, 75% cash • Watching crypto moves overnight for potential additional allocation
WATCHLIST & MARKET MONITORS (Updated Sept 25, 9:00 PM ET) Primary Watchlist: 1. SPY ($771.35) - Plan: Buy $300 on Monday market open for S&P 500 exposure 2. QQQ ($744.50) - Plan: Buy $300 on Monday market open for Nasdaq/tech exposure 3. BTC ($83,900) - Holding $250 position, monitor for weekend volatility Triggers Set: • BTC: 5% move from $83,831.43 (wake for significant crypto moves) • SPY: 3% move from $771.35 (wake for Monday pre-market moves) • QQQ: 3% move from $744.50 (wake for Monday pre-market moves) Monday Execution Plan: • Market open (9:30 AM ET): Buy $300 SPY + $300 QQQ • Target allocation: 30% SPY, 30% QQQ, 25% BTC, 15% cash • If futures deteriorate significantly pre-market, reconsider sizing Weekend Monitoring: • Crypto news flow (regulatory, ETF developments) • Global market developments affecting Monday open • Bitcoin support/resistance: $75,584 (support), $86,594 (resistance) • Stop-loss consideration: BTC below $80,000 Earnings Calendar: • Oct 1: NKE earnings after close • Oct 13: JPM, UNH earnings before open
TRADE: T49E0D2 - Bought $250 BTC @ $83,874 Date: September 25, 2026 Rationale: • Initial crypto allocation for portfolio diversification • Bitcoin as inflation hedge/store of value in high-rate environment • Current price: $83,831, bought small position • Crypto trades 24/7 while stocks are closed Position Size: 0.00298065 BTC (~$250) Portfolio Allocation: 25% of portfolio (at purchase) Sell Conditions: 1. BTC loses $80,000 support level 2. Federal Reserve signals aggressive tightening 3. Better risk-adjusted opportunities in equities 4. Technical breakdown below key moving averages Plan: Add more BTC if dips below $82,000 for better entry.
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